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Climate Change

Long-term Monitoring of Potential Climate Change Driven Vegetation Shifts in the Eastern Cascades, Washington

Project vision
Our vision is to contribute to growing a regional network of monitoring sites with the goal of understanding the direction, magnitude and rate of change of impacts of climate change on components of biodiversity in the interior Northwest. The project is being designed and implemented in cooperation with the Conservancy's Global Climate Change Initiative. Analysis of data collected at these sites will:

    1. Inform on the magnitude of the threat posed by climate change to species and systems, and on which components of biodiversity are likely most vulnerable.
    2. Help in the development of strategies to conserve biodiversity under changing climate.
    3. Inform the restoration and management of natural systems by agencies, NGOs and private landowners.
    4. Help validate and downscale climate and vegetation model projections.

The currently funded project is a pilot project focused on working out how to select sites and what to monitor over the long-term to provide early warning of shifts in the lower tree line ecotone of the eastern Cascades, and using dendrochronology to quantify trends up to this date. The two sites that will be set up as part of this project are a small nucleus for the broader network of long term monitoring sites. This broader network and the funding to monitor it will require partnerships with organizations currently involved in similar efforts, and/or new partners facing similar issues, as well as new sources of funding. This project will help start the discussions, work out the details of what is needed to add to what is already being done, and how, and to identify and engage with potential partners from agencies, research institutions and other organizations.

For more information, please contact:

Lead Principal Investigator:
, Ph. D., Arid Lands Ecologist, The Nature Conservancy.

Co-Principal Investigators:

Elizabeth Gray, Ph. D., Director of Conservation Science, The Nature Conservancy, Washington Field Office
Partick Gonzales, Ph. D., Climate Change Scientist, Global Climate Change Initiative, The Nature Conservancy